Indian Refiners Face Dilemma Over Deep Russian Oil Discounts Amid US Trade Deal

Published By DPRJ Universal | Published on Wednesday, 4 February 2026

Indian refiners are encountering steeper discounts on Russian oil, exceeding ten dollars a barrel, creating a significant challenge. This comes as a trade deal with the US requires India to reduce its purchases of Russian crude. The lucrative yet geopolitically sensitive offers have left refiners seeking urgent clarification from New Delhi on how to proceed, balancing economic benefits with international commitments and diplomatic relations.

Indian oil refiners are currently facing a complex dilemma as they are presented with increasingly steep discounts on Russian crude oil, with reports indicating reductions exceeding ten dollars per barrel. While these substantial price cuts offer a significant economic advantage for India, potentially lowering energy costs and boosting profitability for refiners, they directly contradict a trade agreement India has with the United States. This pact mandates that India scale back its reliance on Russian energy imports, aligning with broader international efforts to pressure Russia. The availability of highly discounted Russian oil places Indian refiners in a challenging position, compelling them to weigh the immediate economic benefits against their nation's diplomatic commitments and strategic partnership with the US. Consequently, refiners are seeking explicit guidance from the Indian government, specifically New Delhi, on navigating this delicate balance. They need clarity on how to reconcile the economic opportunity presented by cheap Russian crude with the geopolitical implications of maintaining the US trade deal. This situation underscores India's complex foreign policy tightrope walk, balancing energy security and economic interests with its international alliances amidst a shifting global energy landscape.